NASA scientists say 2013 tied with 2009 and 2006 for the seventh
warmest year since 1880, continuing a long-term trend of rising global
temperatures.
With the exception of 1998, the 10 warmest years in the 134-year
record all have occurred since 2000, with 2010 and 2005 ranking as the
warmest years on record.
NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York, which
analyzes global surface temperatures on an ongoing basis, released an
updated report Tuesday on temperatures around the globe in 2013. The
comparison shows how Earth continues to experience temperatures warmer
than those measured several decades ago.
The average temperature in 2013 was 58.3 degrees Fahrenheit (14.6
Celsius), which is 1.1 F (0.6 C) warmer than the mid-20th century
baseline. The average global temperature has risen about 1.4 degrees F
(0.8 C) since 1880, according to the new analysis. Exact rankings for
individual years are sensitive to data inputs and analysis methods.
"Long-term trends in surface temperatures are unusual and 2013 adds
to the evidence for ongoing climate change," GISS climatologist Gavin
Schmidt said. "While one year or one season can be affected by random
weather events, this analysis shows the necessity for continued,
long-term monitoring."
Scientists emphasize that weather patterns always will cause
fluctuations in average temperatures from year to year, but the
continued increases in greenhouse gas levels in Earth's atmosphere are
driving a long-term rise in global temperatures. Each successive year
will not necessarily be warmer than the year before, but with the
current level of greenhouse gas emissions, scientists expect each
successive decade to be warmer than the previous.
Carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas that traps heat and plays a major
role in controlling changes to Earth's climate. It occurs naturally and
also is emitted by the burning of fossil fuels for energy. Driven by
increasing man-made emissions, the level of carbon dioxide in Earth's
atmosphere presently is higher than at any time in the last 800,000
years.
The carbon dioxide level in the atmosphere was about 285 parts per
million in 1880, the first year in the GISS temperature record. By 1960,
the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration, measured at the National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Mauna Loa Observatory in
Hawaii, was about 315 parts per million. This measurement peaked last
year at more than 400 parts per million.
While the world experienced relatively warm temperatures in 2013, the
continental United States experienced the 42nd warmest year on record,
according to GISS analysis. For some other countries, such as Australia,
2013 was the hottest year on record.
The temperature analysis produced at GISS is compiled from weather
data from more than 1,000 meteorological stations around the world,
satellite observations of sea-surface temperature, and Antarctic
research station measurements, taking into account station history and
urban heat island effects. Software is used to calculate the difference
between surface temperature in a given month and the average temperature
for the same place from 1951 to 1980. This three-decade period
functions as a baseline for the analysis. It has been 38 years since the
recording of a year of cooler than average temperatures.
The GISS temperature record is one of several global temperature
analyses, along with those produced by the Met Office Hadley Centre in
the United Kingdom and NOAA's National Climatic Data Center in
Asheville, N.C. These three primary records use slightly different
methods, but overall, their trends show close agreement.
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